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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
73%
September Meeting
71%
3 more
$1.74M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
64 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Productivity
90%
Balance Sheet
87%
36 more
$149K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
50 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
69%
Pause–Pause–Pause
22%
7 more
$592K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
69%
Pause–Pause–Pause
32%
7 more
$634K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
63 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
61%
25 bps increase
26%
3 more
$363K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
36%
1 (25 bps)
33%
4 more
$69K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$69
42 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$457.43
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
39 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
44 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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